Maine has been a leader in the legalization of cannabis. It was the fifth state to approve the use of medical cannabis, in 1999. Since that time, cannabis growth and sales have been limited to approved patients and authorized caregivers, as well as eight cannabis dispensaries statewide. Maine’s cannabis market is about to change drastically, however, as the state moves to implement legalized recreational cannabis.

Maine’s recreational cannabis timeline

Maine voters approved the legalization of recreational cannabis in November 2016, and since Jan. 30, 2017, Mainers over the age of 21 have been allowed to use recreational cannabis and possess up to 2.5 ounces of the drug. However, laws regulating recreational cannabis sales have yet to be established, meaning those using recreational cannabis in Maine have to grow their own.

According to the Portland Press Herald, Maine’s legislature was due to release details of a bill Sept. 26 that will lay the groundwork for recreational cannabis sales in the state. The Press Herald reported that the bill would establish a 20-percent tax on retail sales of recreational cannabis. The bill also would allow medical cannabis dispensaries to be run as for-profit, rather than nonprofits, entities. The bill also would legalize internet sales and deliveries of cannabis; drive-through sales of cannabis, as permitted by local communities; and cannabis sales by social clubs, beginning in June 2019. Under the bill, the regulation of the cultivation, manufacturing, testing, packaging and labeling of recreational cannabis would be overseen by the Maine Department of Agriculture, Conservation and Forestry.

But because of the potential delays and the rule making that lies ahead, the roll out of Maine’s recreational marijuana program, originally expected in January 2018, may get pushed back until late next year or even early 2019.

Despite of that, the new cannabis law has a lot for businesses. For example, the legislation offers a grow license system with multiple tiers in which the lowest tier – Tier 1 – allows cultivators to grow as few as 30 plants. Adult-use retailers will be able to own up to four stores in the program’s first few years. The bill will not change Maine’s medical  cannabis program, so dispensaries could operate as is. The legislation eliminates the licensing preference the voter-approved initiative had given to medical cannabis businesses, which would have been allowed to apply for rec licenses earlier than new entrants and, thus, begin sales sooner.

Market Opportunities

Medical cannabis sales in Maine have been steadily rising, and recreational cannabis stands to strengthen the state’s overall cannabis market. Combining medical and recreational cannabis sales, Maine’s cannabis sales are expected to top $321 million by 2020, according to projections from cannabis industry reporting firm New Frontier Data.

Maine has robust participation in its medical marijuana program. While patient registry is voluntary — meaning there are no solid statistics on medical cannabis users in the state — it’s estimated that nearly 4 percent of Mainers are certified medical cannabis patients. That puts participation in Maine’s medical cannabis program at double the average for enrollment in state’s whose medical cannabis have similar qualifying conditions. Typically, states see participation between 1 and 2 percent of the population. Despite already high enrollment, the number of participants in Maine’s medical cannabis program is on the rise. According to Maine regulators, Maine medical providers issued 51,324 patient certifications for medical cannabis in 2016, an increase of 36%.

With that high population of participants, the number of licensed MMJ caregivers has been steadily on the rise, according to statistics from the Press Herald. In 2016 alone, the number of MMJ caregivers in Maine increased from 2,277 to 3,244. That increase is especially dramatic when compared with figures in 2011, when there were 211 licensed growers and caregivers in the state.

Medical cannabis sales figures also have risen with increased caregiver and patient participation in the medical marijuana program. Statistics from the state’s revenue department show $24.8 million in sales of non-edible marijuana products at the state’s eight dispensaries in 2016, a 5.3 percent increase over 2015 sales, the Portland Press Herald reported, and authorized caregivers sold an additional $27.3 million in medical cannabis in 2016, according to estimates by advocacy group Medical Marijuana Caregivers of Maine.

Infused Products

Cannabis edibles have shown to be a lucrative market in Maine. The state’s medical marijuana patients purchased $2 million of edibles products at dispensaries in 2016, making edibles the fastest growing segment of Maine’s medical cannabis industry. Edibles sales accounted for approximately 7.4 percent of the overall $26.8 million spent at Maine’s eight dispensaries in 2016, according to the Press Herald. Edibles sales in 2016 increased nearly 70 percent over the previous year, when Mainers spent $1.2 million on edibles at medical marijuana dispensaries. In 2015, edibles accounted for about 5.4 percent of total cannabis dispensary purchases. Those figures do not include sales by Maine’s 3,200 caregivers, some of whom are large enough to produce wholesale infused products for the caregiver and dispensary market.

Edibles are expected to continue to gain market share of the medical cannabis sales in Maine. Tim Smale, the head of the Maine Dispensary Operators Association and co-founder of Remedy Compassion Center in Auburn, estimated that edibles will account for about 20 percent of all of the state’s dispensary sales by 2018.

Opportunities for new businesses in Maine’s cannabis market

Until now, opportunities for new cannabis businesses in Maine have been limited, with all of the state’s limited number of medical cannabis licenses already awarded, but the legalization of recreational cannabis has opened the door for cannabis industry entrepreneurship. With recreational cannabis sales expected to begin in 2018, businesses looking to enter Maine’s medical marijuana market should be ready to begin the permitting process.

 

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